Finance

Economic and Project Analysis

Population Projections Simulator

Updated: July 2016

Projections - Main | About the Data | Download Projections | Definitions | Assumptions | Projection Simulator | Demographic Reports

About the Simulator

The Newfoundland and Labrador Population Projections Simulator is being offered so that users can observe the sensitivity of population projections to changes in key assumptions. The main factors that determine population trends over time are the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and net migration. This simulator allows users to choose from five different assumptions for the total fertility rate and seven different assumptions for net migration. To provide some context for the choices available, historical charts for Newfoundland and Labrador's total fertility rate and net migration are provided below. For further information on historical changes in Newfoundland and Labrador's fertility rate and net migration see Demographic Change - Issues and Implications (PDF). The results, for the total population, are displayed in chart form. A schematic of the components of population change as well as definitions are available in the Definitions section.

Adjustable Simulator Inputs

Begin by making your selections in the options below. To view the data, press the run reports button.


Total Fertility Rate (TFR)

TFR Trends down towards 1.00
TFR Trends down towards 1.25
TFR Stays Constant at 1.4
TFR Trends up towards 1.8
TFR Trends up towards 2.1

Annual Net Migration

-4,000 for average annual net migration
-2,500 for average annual net migration
-1,000 for average annual net migration
0 for average annual net migration
+2,000 for average annual net migration
+3,000 for average annual net migration
+4,000 for average annual net migration

Historical Population Data and Projection Outputs

Questions and requests related to the projections should be addressed to the  Manager of Modelling and Technical Analysis.


 
Economic and Project Analysis Division, Department of Finance - (709) 729-3255 - infoera@gov.nl.ca

 
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